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Synthesis · Amazon Expert Report
Sample Brand · Week Aug 03 – Aug 09, 2026
Revenue fell 6.3% to $88.9K — and $4.1K of it is one ASIN that stopped selling entirely.
The week came in at $88,850, down 6.3% on last week and 3.4% below the four-week average, while still running 21% ahead of the same week last year. The decline is not broad: five ASINs moved and they nearly cancel out. The charcoal toothpaste went to zero — $4,100 last week, nothing this week, with 210 units sitting unfulfillable — and that single line is more than two-thirds of the shortfall. The whitening pen gave back $3,500 and the strips another $3,500, offset by $3,450 on the core toothpaste and $1,700 on the brush heads. Two of those three declines have a cause visible elsewhere in this report; the pen's does not, which is what makes it the one to investigate rather than the one to act on.
1 · Revenue
Aug 03 – Aug 09, 2026
$88,850 net across 4,840 orders and 5,040 units at an $18.36 AOV: -6.3% week-over-week, -3.4% against the four-week average, +21.4% year-over-year. Concentration is the standing risk — the top ASIN is 46% of the week. Cancellations ran 12.7% against 12.8% prior, inside the band this account has held for eight weeks, so nothing to do there.
Net revenue
$88,850
-6.3%
vs 4-wk avg
$92,000
-3.4%
Units
5,040
Orders
4,840
AOV
$18.36
Cancellation rate this week: 12.7% (615 orders) vs 12.8% prior week
Weekly net revenue, last 14 closed weeks (order-basis; report week in terracotta; dashed line = the same weeks last year). The scale fits typical weeks — event spikes clip with a break mark and print their true value.
New customers
3,110
-0.6%
New, share of buyers
71.0%
+0.0%
Repeat customers
1,270
-0.8%
Revenue from repeat
$0
—
Revenue from new
$0
—
Every week's identified buyers, repeat underneath and new on top, so the height is demand and the split is mix. Hollow bars are weeks still inside the roughly 14-day window where Amazon is still returning buyer emails — they fill in, they do not fall.
Revenue contribution this week, top products.
Product
ASIN
Revenue
WoW
Units
Share
Whitening Toothpaste · Mint · 2-pack
B0SAMPLE01
$41,250
+9.1%
2,750
46.4%
Whitening Strips · 28 treatments
B0SAMPLE02
$28,400
-11.0%
1,010
32.0%
Electric Toothbrush Heads · 4-pack
B0SAMPLE03
$12,900
+15.2%
860
14.5%
Whitening Pen · Travel size
B0SAMPLE04
$6,300
-35.7%
420
7.1%
Fluoride-free Toothpaste · Charcoal
B0SAMPLE05
$0
-100.0%
0
0.0%
What each product keeps
No settled contribution rows for this brand yet.
2 · Listings health
Aug 03 – Aug 09, 2026
Live listing scores need the Product Listing SP-API role, which this account does not hold yet — so this reads as unavailable, not as clean. Worth unlocking: it is the cheapest of the seven checks to fix, and it is the check that would have flagged the charcoal toothpaste going dark.
Gap
The listings/suppression sync has not run for this brand yet (it ships with this report).
Unlock: It runs inside the next Amazon secondary-sync pass automatically; nothing to configure.
3 · Inventory and how long stock lasts
Aug 03 – Aug 09, 2026
Two real signals. The whitening strips are at 28.7 days of cover against an 8-12 week hero band — at 144 units/day that is a stockout inside the reorder lead time, not after it. At the other end the whitening pen holds 181.7 days, roughly 26 weeks, which is capital drag on a declining ASIN. The charcoal toothpaste shows no velocity at all with 210 unfulfillable units, which is the inventory-side confirmation of the revenue line.
Days of cover (capped at 180 for scale — » marks longer; true value in the label). Reference lines at 30 and 90 days. Status is written on every bar.
Product
ASIN
On hand
Inbound
Units/day
Days of stock left
Status
Whitening Strips · 28 treatments
B0SAMPLE02
4,130
0
144.0
29d
LOW
Whitening Toothpaste · Mint · 2-pack
B0SAMPLE01
26,300
4,000
393.0
67d
HEALTHY
Electric Toothbrush Heads · 4-pack
B0SAMPLE03
9,450
1,450
123.0
77d
HEALTHY
Whitening Pen · Travel size
B0SAMPLE04
10,900
0
60.0
182d
EXCESS
Fluoride-free Toothpaste · Charcoal
B0SAMPLE05
1,200
0
0.0
∞
NO_VELOCITY
4 · Ad spend checkpoint
Aug 03 – Aug 09, 2026
Spend of $14,200 returned $52,800 in attributed sales — a 3.72x return against 3.41x last week, 26.9% ACoS and 16.0% TACoS. Read the improvement carefully: spend rose 4% while attributed sales rose 14%, which on a week when two ASINs declined usually means budget rotated toward the easy converter rather than the campaigns getting better. Attributed sales are a ceiling on incrementality, not a measurement of it.
Gap
Advertising: the table exists but holds no rows for this brand yet — the first sync has not run.
Unlock: Everything behind this section is already built. Connect your Amazon Ads account at /amazon-ads/authorize and it fills in on its own with what you spent, what those ads sold, what that cost you as a share of the sales they drove, and which search terms took money without producing an order.
5 · What shoppers searched for
SQP week starting 2026-08-03 vs 2026-07-27
Non-branded purchase share is 0.31%, down from 0.44% four weeks ago on flat query volume — the strips decline has a search cause, and it is share loss rather than demand loss. 'Whitening strips' alone fell 0.44% to 0.31% while impression share fell 1.28% to 0.96%, so the brand is losing placement before it loses the click. Branded share is unaffected at 2.06%.
branded purchase share
Purchase share by SQP week — separate scales on purpose: branded and non-branded are different markets and are never blended. Values are already percentages.
Segment
Impression share
Δ
Click share
Δ
Purchase share
Δ
branded
6.39%
+0.10pt
3.30%
+0.05pt
2.06%
+0.03pt
Share gainers:
Query
Volume
Purchase share
Δpt
charcoal toothpaste
34,800
0.52%
+0.13
teeth whitening kit
62,100
0.24%
+0.02
whitening strips
88,400
0.31%
-0.13
Share decliners:
Query
Volume
Purchase share
Δpt
whitening strips
88,400
0.31%
-0.13
teeth whitening kit
62,100
0.24%
+0.02
charcoal toothpaste
34,800
0.52%
+0.13
New queries:
Query
Volume
Purchase share
Δpt
toothpaste no fluoride
21,600
0.29%
new
6 · Who took the clicks
Search-terms week starting 2026-08-03 vs 2026-07-27
Plain read: these are the specific products taking clicks on the searches you care about. "Click share" means: of everyone who searched that term, the percent who clicked that product. Where a rival's share is high and yours is low on the same terms, that is where your clicks are going.
Rivals by breadth (our search terms they contest)
How many of your own search terms each rival shows up on. Breadth beats raw volume: a rival on one enormous generic term is a coincidence, not a competitor.
Where you meet head-to-head (searches where you are BOTH in the top 3), who gets the click:
Rival
On your searches
They're #1 on
Them
You
Their lead
Northvale Fluoride-Free Toothp
47
19
—
11.1%
+22.2pt
Brightmore Whitening Strips
33
21
—
8.4%
+26.5pt
Calderwood Nano-Hydroxyapatite
28
9
—
12.7%
+6.9pt
Orlin Fresh Mouthwash
14
5
—
9.9%
+4.7pt
Them, You and Their lead all come from the same head-to-head searches, so Them − You = Their lead on every row. "On your searches" counts how many of the searches you care about that rival shows up on at all.
On the podium for 74 of the 421 terms you actually appear on (17.6%). A further 183 terms are in this table only because a tracked rival holds them — they are shown for context and are deliberately NOT in that denominator, because that set grows as rivals accumulate and would shrink the percentage on its own.
Surfacing but losing the click:
You appear and miss the top 3. A search-card problem: main image, price, rating, badge.
Term
Search rank
Our volume
Ceiling
Winning it
Found via
whitening strips
512
88,400
≤6.02%
Brightmore Whitening Strips 14-Day
your own search terms
toothpaste
96
341,900
≤7.41%
Northvale Fluoride-Free Toothpaste
your own search terms
7 · Repeat vs new buyers
mature week Jul 20 – Jul 26, 2026 · provisional week Aug 03 – Aug 09, 2026
On the last mature week, 4,340 buyers: 3,090 new and 1,250 repeat, a 28.8% repeat share. New-to-brand is 71% of orders, which is healthy for the category and consistent with the LTV read below. The two most recent weeks are drawn provisional because Amazon backfills buyer identity for about two weeks — email coverage on the newest week is only 41%, so its customer counts are not yet trustworthy and should not be read as a drop.
Repeat share of weekly buyers, one point per closed week for the last year. The axis starts at its printed floor, not at zero, so a few points of movement is visible movement. Open markers on a dashed tail are weeks still inside the ~14-day identity backfill — provisional, and they revise upward.
The same weeks in people rather than percent. A falling repeat SHARE with a rising bar is new customers arriving, which is the opposite week from a falling share with a shrinking bar, and the share line alone cannot tell you which one you had.
Read
Week
Buyers
New
Repeat
Repeat %
Email cov.
Mature (trustworthy)
Jul 20 – Jul 26, 2026
4,340
3,090
1,250
28.8%
97.0%
Prior mature
Jul 13 – Jul 19, 2026
4,190
2,980
1,210
28.9%
96.0%
Latest (provisional)
Aug 03 – Aug 09, 2026
4,380
3,110
1,270
29.0%
41.0%
8 · What a customer is worth over time
all history
Windowed LTV runs $24.10 at 30 days, $31.80 at 60, $38.40 at 90 and $61.90 at 365, all on mature cohorts. The gateway read is the actionable one: customers whose first purchase was the core toothpaste reach $47.20 in 90-day LTV with a 34.1% repeat rate (n=1,240), against $31.40 and 19.2% for the strips (n=890). Median days to second order is 61 across 5,210 repeaters — that is the number a repeat nudge should be timed to, not day 30 and not day 90.
Average net revenue per customer inside each window, mature cohorts only. Amber = under 30 mature customers (anecdote); sand = lifetime running figure.
Time window
Revenue per customer so far (LTV)
Customers old enough to count
30-day
$24.10
17,900
60-day
$31.80
17,100
90-day
$38.40
16,200
365-day
$61.90
9,800
Lifetime
$45
18,400
LTV drivers: drivers computation failed: no FAMILY LAW for this brand — uplift needs family definitions
Subscribe & Save: The Subscribe & Save feed has not landed for this brand yet.
Subscribe & Save uplift: Order promotion tags absent (amazon_orders_reports) — the S&S split needs them. Land the primary order-report sync.
How to read this
Revenue here is order-basis: what was ordered, minus promotions, cancellations and returns. Amazon's own settlement figure covers a different period and nets different fees, so the two will not match and are not meant to.
Search shares are already percentages, and they are small by nature: 0.28 means 0.28% of that search, not 28%.
Order-basis figures; settlement remains the financial truth. Sections state their own
periods and gaps — an absent feed is named, never silently zero.
Narrative model: sample.